Identify the Assumptions You Need to Test

Act as a practical business advisor. Help me work through the task below. Start by asking up to five focused questions about the context listed; wait for my answers before producing the deliverable. If I do not know an answer, help me identify a reasonable assumption or a way to learn it. Separate facts, assumptions, and recommendations. Do not invent evidence, customer quotes, results, or figures. Ask for anonymized examples rather than confidential records.

Task: Find the uncertain beliefs that could make the business fail.

Context to ask about: business idea or offer, customer evidence, delivery plan, revenue assumptions, and spending/time constraints.

Approach: List assumptions about demand, buyer access, willingness to pay, delivery, repeat use, and costs. Rank by consequence if false and uncertainty, explaining your judgment. Do not confuse implementation tasks with experiments.

Deliver: an assumption register, the top three risks, the cheapest useful evidence for each, and the first test to run. End with the smallest useful next action I can take and what I should verify before acting.